Marc Polmans vs Shintaro MochizukiPlayford CH Quarter-final

Playford CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#344ATP
1449ELO
1414Hard ELO
29 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 21 October 2024
hard
#115ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Polmans M.
2-6 6-4 6-4
Mochizuki S.
Polmans M.
2662
Mochizuki S.
6441

Marc Polmans defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 2-6 6-4 6-4 in the Playford CH quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Shintaro Mochizuki came in ranked #115.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Polmans M.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Mochizuki S.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Polmans M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
66%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
61%
58%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Even
59%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.2
3.0
Double faults / match·Even
4.0
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (78 vs 153). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
23
52
Break points saved·Slight edge
79
74
Break points won·Dominant
10
55
Deciding sets·Clear edge
31
47
Tiebreaks·Dominant
24
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 33 days (−0.7)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1414
Surface ELO
5.4+11 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1449
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1475
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
4.0
Surface form
3.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
86

Polmans M.: 21 days rest · Mochizuki S.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast