Rebecca Marino vs Maya Joint — Tampico 125 Quarter-final

Tampico 125 · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final

CAN

Rebecca Marino

#361WTA

1626ELO

1591Hard ELO

35 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLWWWLLWL

0 — 0

Sets

Monday, 21 October 2024

hard

AUS

Maya Joint

#77WTA

1659ELO

1657Hard ELO

$391kYTD

$1.7MCAREER

20 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLLLWLWLL

Marino R.

6-2 6-3

Joint M.

Marino R.

662

Joint M.

23–

Rebecca Marino defeated Maya Joint 6-2 6-3 in the Tampico 125 quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Maya Joint came in ranked #77, but Rebecca Marino had arrived on a 6-match winning run.

Key context

Match story: Rebecca Marino dropped just 5 games past Maya Joint.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Marino R.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Joint M.

Joint M.serving61% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Marino R.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Marino R.Joint M.

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Serve

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Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season

Marino R.Joint M.

1st serve in·Slight edge

58%

63%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

70%

62%

2nd serve points won·Even

46%

48%

Service points won·Even

60%

56%

Return points won·Slight edge

41%

46%

Break points saved·Even

57%

53%

Aces / match·Dominant

7.8

1.8

Double faults / match·Even

3.5

3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (74 vs 117). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure

Marino R.Joint M.

Clutch Rating·Dominant

Break points saved·Slight edge

Break points won·Dominant

Deciding sets·Dominant

Tiebreaks·

—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Marino R.

6.7

Slight advantageUmpiry Score

Joint M.

5.1

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Recent retirement (−1.5)

Form & Matchup

3.5Hard Elo 1591

Surface ELO

6.5+66 Hard Elo edge

3.2Overall Elo 1626

ELO gap

6.8Overall Elo 1659

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0

9.3

Surface form

5.9

9.06-match win streak

Win streak

Fatigue & Travel

7.0

3-set count

Context

5.0

Defending pts

5.0

Opponent rise

2.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.