David Goffin vs Ugo HumbertBasel Round of 16

Basel · ATP · Round of 16
#241ATP
1665ELO
1626Hard ELO
35 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 21 October 2024
hard
#30ATP
1868ELO
1843Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$12MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
Goffin D.
3-6 6-1 7-6
Humbert U.
Goffin D.
36792
Humbert U.
61671

David Goffin defeated Ugo Humbert 3-6 6-1 7-6 in the Basel round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ugo Humbert came in ranked #30, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's semi-final. David Goffin narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-01-15Australian OpenR128hardUgo Humbert6-2 7-5 5-7 6-3
2022-06-27WimbledonR32grassDavid Goffin4-6 7-5 6-2 7-5
2019-10-14AntwerpR16hardUgo Humbert6-3 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Goffin D.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Humbert U.

Humbert U.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Goffin D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Goffin D.Humbert U.
12
Serve
64
43
Return
15

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
6.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (124 vs 128). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
82
70
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Dominant
64
37
Deciding sets·Clear edge
96
78
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
81
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.4Hard Elo 1626
Surface ELO
7.6+218 Hard Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1665
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1868
0.0
H2H
10.0
8.1
Surface form
6.3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
8.5
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
90

Goffin D.: 19 days rest · Humbert U.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast