Hanna Chang vs Maja Chwalinska — Tampico 125 Round of 32

Tampico 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
USA
Hanna Chang
#325WTA
1354ELO
1314Hard ELO
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 October 2024
hard
Maja Chwalinska
POL
Maja Chwalinska
#22WTA
1833ELO
1736Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$2.5MCAREER
24 yrs · 164 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWW
Chang H.
6-3 6-1
Chwalinska M.
Chang H.
662
Chwalinska M.
31–

Hanna Chang defeated Maja Chwalinska 6-3 6-1 in the Tampico 125 round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Maja Chwalinska came in ranked #22.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Chang H.serving42% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Chwalinska M.

Chwalinska M.serving56% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Chang H.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Chang H.Chwalinska M.
1st serve in·Clear edge
54%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
51%
Service points won·Even
55%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Even
51%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 95). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Chang H.Chwalinska M.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
0
65
Break points saved·Dominant
15
50
Break points won·Dominant
67
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
13
80
Tiebreaks·
—
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Chang H.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Chwalinska M.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
0.5Hard Elo 1314
Surface ELO
9.5+421 Hard Elo edge
0.3Overall Elo 1354
ELO gap
9.7Overall Elo 1833
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
7.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
3-set count
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Chang H.Chwalinska M.
Freshness·
—
100

Chwalinska M.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Stakusic M.
Blinkova A.
6-42-66-4
Semi-finals
Stakusic M.
Sorribes Tormo S.
7-637-60
Blinkova A.
Marino R.
7-686-746-2
Quarter-finals
Stakusic M.
Stefanini L.
0-66-47-5
Sorribes Tormo S.
Maria T.
7-666-2
Marino R.
Joint M.
6-26-3
Blinkova A.
Lepchenko V.
6-26-4
R16
Stakusic M.
Montgomery R.
6-47-65
Maria T.
Zidansek T.
7-56-2
Sorribes Tormo S.
Kudermetova P.
6-36-4
Joint M.
Chang H.
6-16-2
Marino R.
Carle M.
7-656-4
Blinkova A.
Tikhonova A.
6-06-746-1
Lepchenko V.
Teichmann J.
7-632-66-3
Stefanini L.
Parrizas Diaz N.
2-67-646-4
R32
Stakusic M.
Soboleva A.
6-26-2
Montgomery R.
Mandlik E.
6-46-2
Maria T.
Stojanovic N.
6-36-1
Zidansek T.
Arango E.
6-17-5
Kudermetova P.
Sharma A.
6-16-4
Sorribes Tormo S.
Sanchez A.
6-06-1
Joint M.
Jacquemot E.
6-36-4
Chang H.
Chwalinska M.
6-36-1
Marino R.
Hinojosa Gomez J.
6-16-0
Carle M.
Korneeva A.
6-786-46-4
Blinkova A.
Erjavec V.
6-36-0
Tikhonova A.
Ruzic A.
6-756-26-3
Teichmann J.
Rodriguez V.
6-46-2
Lepchenko V.
Niemeier J.
6-36-3
Parrizas Diaz N.
Yamalapalli S.
7-56-4
Stefanini L.
Li A.
6-46-4