Maria Lourdes Carle vs Alina Korneeva — Tampico 125 Round of 32

Tampico 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
ARG
Maria Lourdes Carle
#218WTA
1484ELO
1459Hard ELO
26 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 21 October 2024
hard
RUS
Alina Korneeva
#90WTA
1725ELO
1718Hard ELO
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWWL
Carle M.
6-7 6-4 6-4
Korneeva A.
Carle M.
68662
Korneeva A.
710441

Maria Lourdes Carle defeated Alina Korneeva 6-7 6-4 6-4 in the Tampico 125 round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alina Korneeva came in ranked #90.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Carle M.serving37% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Korneeva A.

Korneeva A.serving46% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Carle M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Carle M.Korneeva A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
52%
58%
Return points won·Even
49%
47%
Break points saved·Even
51%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.7
3.4
Double faults / match·Even
5.1
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (139 vs 90). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Carle M.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Korneeva A.
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.6Hard Elo 1459
Surface ELO
8.4+259 Hard Elo edge
2.0Overall Elo 1484
ELO gap
8.0Overall Elo 1725
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.7
Surface form
7.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Carle M.Korneeva A.
Freshness·
90
—

Carle M.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Stakusic M.
Blinkova A.
6-42-66-4
Semi-finals
Stakusic M.
Sorribes Tormo S.
7-637-60
Blinkova A.
Marino R.
7-686-746-2
Quarter-finals
Stakusic M.
Stefanini L.
0-66-47-5
Sorribes Tormo S.
Maria T.
7-666-2
Marino R.
Joint M.
6-26-3
Blinkova A.
Lepchenko V.
6-26-4
R16
Stakusic M.
Montgomery R.
6-47-65
Maria T.
Zidansek T.
7-56-2
Sorribes Tormo S.
Kudermetova P.
6-36-4
Joint M.
Chang H.
6-16-2
Marino R.
Carle M.
7-656-4
Blinkova A.
Tikhonova A.
6-06-746-1
Lepchenko V.
Teichmann J.
7-632-66-3
Stefanini L.
Parrizas Diaz N.
2-67-646-4
R32
Stakusic M.
Soboleva A.
6-26-2
Montgomery R.
Mandlik E.
6-46-2
Maria T.
Stojanovic N.
6-36-1
Zidansek T.
Arango E.
6-17-5
Kudermetova P.
Sharma A.
6-16-4
Sorribes Tormo S.
Sanchez A.
6-06-1
Joint M.
Jacquemot E.
6-36-4
Chang H.
Chwalinska M.
6-36-1
Marino R.
Hinojosa Gomez J.
6-16-0
Carle M.
Korneeva A.
6-786-46-4
Blinkova A.
Erjavec V.
6-36-0
Tikhonova A.
Ruzic A.
6-756-26-3
Teichmann J.
Rodriguez V.
6-46-2
Lepchenko V.
Niemeier J.
6-36-3
Parrizas Diaz N.
Yamalapalli S.
7-56-4
Stefanini L.
Li A.
6-46-4