Felix Auger Aliassime vs Sebastian BaezBasel Round of 32

Basel · ATP · Round of 32
#4ATP
1958ELO
1932Hard ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 October 2024
hard
#57ATP
1759ELO
1709Hard ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Auger Aliassime F.
7-5 6-1
Baez S.
Auger Aliassime F.
762
Baez S.
510

Felix Auger Aliassime defeated Sebastian Baez 7-5 6-1 in the Basel round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Felix Auger Aliassime came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending the title. Felix Auger Aliassime extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-10Davis Cup Finals RR: CAN vs ARGRRhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Auger Aliassime F.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baez S.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Serve advantage — Auger Aliassime F.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Auger Aliassime F.Baez S.
74
Serve
5
44
Return
63

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
72%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
76%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
60%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.4
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (156 vs 138). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
84
87
Break points saved·Even
100
96
Break points won·Dominant
50
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.1+224 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.9Hard Elo 1709
8.0Overall Elo 1958
ELO gap
2.0Overall Elo 1759
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.5
Surface form
2.2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
6.8
Minutes 14d
9.1
4.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
53
94

Auger Aliassime F.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 112 games (7d) · Baez S.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast