Aleksandar Vukic vs Frances TiafoeAlmaty Quarter-final

Almaty · ATP · Quarter-final
#104ATP
1630ELO
1597Hard ELO
$366kYTD
$3.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 October 2024
hard
#19ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Vukic A.
6-2 7-6
Tiafoe F.
Vukic A.
67132
Tiafoe F.
26110

Aleksandar Vukic defeated Frances Tiafoe 6-2 7-6 in the Almaty quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #19, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Aleksandar Vukic claimed a first win over Frances Tiafoe in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneR32hardFrances Tiafoe6-2 6-2
2025-07-27Canada MastersR32hardFrances Tiafoe6-3 4-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Vukic A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Tiafoe F.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Vukic A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Vukic A.Tiafoe F.
21
Serve
38
7
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
34%
36%
Break points saved·Even
63%
63%
Aces / match·Even
8.5
7.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (156 vs 130). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
58
83
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Dominant
16
57
Deciding sets·Clear edge
72
92
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
80
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.7Hard Elo 1597
Surface ELO
8.3+264 Hard Elo edge
1.5Overall Elo 1630
ELO gap
8.5Overall Elo 1918
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.5
Surface form
5.2
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.2
Minutes 14d
7.5
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
82
63

Vukic A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Tiafoe F.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 93 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast