Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Adam WaltonShenzhen Longhua CH Semi-final

Shenzhen Longhua CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#140ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 October 2024
hard
#79ATP
1703ELO
1669Hard ELO
$499kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
Mcdonald M.
6-3 6-4
Walton A.
Mcdonald M.
662
Walton A.
340

Mackenzie Mcdonald defeated Adam Walton 6-3 6-4 in the Shenzhen Longhua CH semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Adam Walton came in ranked #79.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Mcdonald M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Walton A.

Walton A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mcdonald M.Walton A.
25
Serve
35
10
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.8
6.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (141 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
56
65
Break points saved·Even
96
95
Break points won·Dominant
66
20
Deciding sets·Dominant
45
95
Tiebreaks·Dominant
44
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1604
Surface ELO
5.1+65 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1606
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1703
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.7
Surface form
5.5
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
4.8
7.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
91
46

Mcdonald M.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Walton A.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 122 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast