Karen Khachanov vs Aleksandar VukicAlmaty Semi-final

Almaty · ATP · Semi-final
#26ATP
1828ELO
1783Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 14 October 2024
hard
#113ATP
1630ELO
1597Hard ELO
$366kYTD
$3.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWLW
Khachanov K.
6-7 6-3 6-4
Vukic A.
Khachanov K.
63662
Vukic A.
77341

Karen Khachanov defeated Aleksandar Vukic 6-7 6-3 6-4 in the Almaty semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Karen Khachanov came in ranked #26, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Karen Khachanov extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR128clayKaren Khachanov6-4 6-4 6-4
2024-06-10s HertogenboschR16grassAleksandar Vukic6-4 5-7 7-6(4)
2021-02-08Australian OpenR128hardKaren Khachanov6-3 6-7(4) 7-6(2) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Khachanov K.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Vukic A.

Vukic A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Khachanov K.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Khachanov K.Vukic A.
61
Serve
21
39
Return
7

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
34%
Break points saved·Even
63%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.4
8.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (131 vs 156). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
86
58
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Dominant
81
16
Deciding sets·Slight edge
83
72
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
92
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.5+186 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Hard Elo 1597
7.9Overall Elo 1828
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1630
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.3
Surface form
6.5
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
5.2
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
83
91

Khachanov K.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Vukic A.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast