Karen Khachanov vs Otto VirtanenAlmaty Round of 16

Almaty · ATP · Round of 16
#26ATP
1828ELO
1783Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 October 2024
hard
#126ATP
1706ELO
1674Hard ELO
$214kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
Khachanov K.
7-6 7-6
Virtanen O.
Khachanov K.
77772
Virtanen O.
62630

Karen Khachanov defeated Otto Virtanen 7-6 7-6 in the Almaty round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Karen Khachanov came in ranked #26.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Khachanov K.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Virtanen O.

Virtanen O.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Khachanov K.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Khachanov K.Virtanen O.
61
Serve
39
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.5
8.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (131 vs 144). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
86
48
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
94
Break points won·Dominant
81
3
Deciding sets·Dominant
83
57
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+109 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Hard Elo 1674
6.5Overall Elo 1828
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1706
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.3
Surface form
1.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
8.8
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
83
77

Khachanov K.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Virtanen O.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast