Frances Tiafoe vs Daniel EvansAlmaty Round of 16

Almaty · ATP · Round of 16
#17ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 14 October 2024
hard
#501ATP
1588ELO
1562Hard ELO
36 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLLL
Tiafoe F.
6-7 7-6 6-3
Evans D.
Tiafoe F.
6107762
Evans D.
7126431

Frances Tiafoe defeated Daniel Evans 6-7 7-6 6-3 in the Almaty round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #17, leading the head-to-head 5–4. Frances Tiafoe extended the head-to-head to 6–4.

Key context

Head to head

54
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-16Queen's ClubR32grassDaniel Evans7-5 6-2
2023-10-23ViennaR32hardFrances Tiafoe1-4 RET
2023-07-31WashingtonQFhardDaniel Evans6-4 7-5
2023-01-02United CupRRhardFrances Tiafoe3-6 7-5 6-3
2021-11-08StockholmQFhardFrances Tiafoe1-6 6-1 6-1
2021-03-22Miami MastersR64hardFrances Tiafoe6-7(5) 6-3 6-3
2020-10-19AntwerpR16hardDaniel Evans7-6(3) 6-2
2019-10-21BaselR32hardFrances Tiafoe6-4 6-2
2019-02-18Delray BeachR32hardDaniel Evans3-6 7-6(1) 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Tiafoe F.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Evans D.

Evans D.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tiafoe F.Evans D.
38
Serve
37
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
49%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.8
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (130 vs 93). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
83
73
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Even
57
61
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
82
Tiebreaks·Dominant
98
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.4+300 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.6Hard Elo 1562
8.4Overall Elo 1918
ELO gap
1.6Overall Elo 1588
7.3
H2H
2.7
5.2
Surface form
4.8
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
5.7
7.0
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
79
100

Tiafoe F.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Evans D.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast