Karen Khachanov vs Gabriel DialloAlmaty Final

Almaty · ATP · Final
#26ATP
1828ELO
1783Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 14 October 2024
hard
#93ATP
1716ELO
1678Hard ELO
$480kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLLL
Khachanov K.
6-2 5-7 6-3
Diallo G.
Khachanov K.
6562
Diallo G.
2731

Karen Khachanov defeated Gabriel Diallo 6-2 5-7 6-3 in the Almaty final on hard. The result followed the form book — Karen Khachanov came in ranked #26, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Karen Khachanov extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Karen Khachanov closed it out in three sets, 6–2 5–7 6–3.

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-09s HertogenboschQFgrassGabriel Diallo7-6(6) 6-4
2025-01-13Australian OpenR64hardKaren Khachanov7-6(4) 4-6 6-3 6-3
2024-08-05Canada MastersR64hardKaren Khachanov6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Khachanov K.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Diallo G.

Diallo G.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Khachanov K.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Khachanov K.Diallo G.
61
Serve
38
39
Return
14

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
36%
Break points saved·Even
63%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.5
8.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (131 vs 152). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
86
64
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
81
24
Deciding sets·Even
83
87
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
92
68

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+105 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1678
6.3Overall Elo 1828
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1716
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.3
Surface form
7.1
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
3.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
83
87

Khachanov K.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Diallo G.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast