Gabriel Diallo vs Francisco CerundoloAlmaty Semi-final

Almaty · ATP · Semi-final
#93ATP
1716ELO
1678Hard ELO
$480kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 October 2024
hard
#22ATP
1931ELO
1880Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Diallo G.
6-4 6-2
Cerundolo F.
Diallo G.
662
Cerundolo F.
420

Gabriel Diallo defeated Francisco Cerundolo 6-4 6-2 in the Almaty semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Francisco Cerundolo came in ranked #22, but Gabriel Diallo had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Gabriel Diallo extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR128clayGabriel Diallo7-5 6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Diallo G.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Cerundolo F.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Diallo G.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Diallo G.Cerundolo F.
38
Serve
13
14
Return
67

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.6
3.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (152 vs 153). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
64
88
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Dominant
24
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
87
94
Tiebreaks·Dominant
68
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Hard Elo 1678
Surface ELO
7.3+202 Hard Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1716
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1931
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.1
Surface form
5.0
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3.0
Minutes 14d
8.9
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
87
98

Diallo G.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Cerundolo F.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast