Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Arthur CazauxShenzhen Longhua CH Final

Shenzhen Longhua CH · CHALLENGER · Final
#140ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 October 2024
hard
#98ATP
1793ELO
1738Hard ELO
$46kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWLW
Mcdonald M.
6-4 7-6
Cazaux A.
Mcdonald M.
6772
Cazaux A.
4640

Mackenzie Mcdonald defeated Arthur Cazaux 6-4 7-6 in the Shenzhen Longhua CH final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Arthur Cazaux came in ranked #98.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Mcdonald M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Cazaux A.

Cazaux A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mcdonald M.Cazaux A.
25
Serve
40
10
Return
19

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.8
8.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (141 vs 115). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
56
65
Break points saved·Even
96
97
Break points won·Dominant
66
27
Deciding sets·Dominant
45
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
44
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1604
Surface ELO
6.4+134 Hard Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1606
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1793
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.7
Surface form
6.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
4.6
7.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Mcdonald M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast