Yosuke Watanuki vs Otto Virtanen — Shanghai Masters Qualifying Round 1

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
Yosuke Watanuki
JPN
Yosuke Watanuki
#294ATP
1541ELO
1531Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 2 October 2024
hard
Otto Virtanen
FIN11
Otto Virtanen
#140ATP
1706ELO
1674Hard ELO
$214kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
Watanuki Y.
6-7 6-2 6-0
Virtanen O.
Watanuki Y.
64662
Virtanen O.
77201

Yosuke Watanuki defeated Otto Virtanen 6-7 6-2 6-0 in the Shanghai Masters qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Otto Virtanen came in ranked #140.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Watanuki Y.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Virtanen O.

Virtanen O.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Watanuki Y.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Watanuki Y.Virtanen O.
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
62%
Aces / match·Even
8.1
8.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.0
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 145). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Watanuki Y.Virtanen O.
Clutch Rating·Even
52
48
Break points saved·Slight edge
89
94
Break points won·Clear edge
20
3
Deciding sets·Even
61
57
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
81
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Watanuki Y.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Virtanen O.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1531
Surface ELO
6.5+144 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1541
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1706
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.8
Surface form
1.9
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
7.7
Minutes 14d
9.3
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Watanuki Y.Virtanen O.
Freshness·Even
88
84

Watanuki Y.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Virtanen O.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 50%
Q2
Vukic A.[2]
Krueger M.[20]
6-46-4
Shapovalov D.[6]
Shimabukuro S.[24]
4-63-1
Evans D.
Bolt A.
6-21-67-5
Ramanathan R.
Sun F.
6-26-4
Diallo G.[9]
Trungelliti M.[16]
6-37-5
Atmane T.[23]
Walton A.[3]
6-746-46-4
Bellucci M.[7]
Karatsev A.[17]
7-636-1
Zhukayev B.
Harris B.[8]
7-52-66-4
Svajda Z.[14]
Bai Y.
6-26-2
Watanuki Y.
Hong S.[19]
6-27-5
Gerasimov E.
Moro Canas A.[22]
6-736-37-66
Tu L.
Xiao L.
6-26-2
Q1
Vukic A.[2]
Cressy M.
6-47-63
Zhukayev B.
Van Wyk K.
6-36-2
Diallo G.[9]
Hassan B.
6-07-63
Atmane T.[23]
Te R.
6-47-62
Svajda Z.[14]
Wu T.
6-06-1
Sun F.
Coric B.[4]
6-756-17-69
Gerasimov E.
Marterer M.[10]
7-644-66-3
Trungelliti M.[16]
Cui J.
6-46-2
Shapovalov D.[6]
Hsu Y.
6-36-3
Ramanathan R.
Blanchet U.[18]
6-44-66-4
Karatsev A.[17]
Dougaz A.
6-726-46-4
Bai Y.
Tseng C.[12]
6-43-67-5
Watanuki Y.
Virtanen O.[11]
6-746-26-0
Krueger M.[20]
Svrcina D.
7-57-5
Hong S.[19]
Marchenko I.
7-656-4
Shimabukuro S.[24]
Yevseyev D.
6-766-46-1
Tu L.
Kukushkin M.[5]
7-54-2
Evans D.
Uchiyama Y.[15]
6-756-16-4
Harris B.[8]
Ursu V.
6-26-4
Bolt A.
Hanfmann Y.[1]
7-616-4
Xiao L.
Mochizuki S.[21]
6-26-3
Moro Canas A.[22]
Kachmazov A.
6-36-2
Walton A.[3]
Kasnikowski M.
6-17-68
Bellucci M.[7]
Shimizu Y.
7-57-62