Roman Safiullin vs Frances TiafoeShanghai Masters Round of 32

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#132ATP
1750ELO
1704Hard ELO
$199kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 2 October 2024
hard
#19ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Safiullin R.
5-7 7-5 7-6
Tiafoe F.
Safiullin R.
57772
Tiafoe F.
75651

Roman Safiullin defeated Frances Tiafoe 5-7 7-5 7-6 in the Shanghai Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #19, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64. Roman Safiullin claimed a first win over Frances Tiafoe in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR128clayFrances Tiafoe6-4 7-5 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Safiullin R.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Tiafoe F.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Safiullin R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Safiullin R.Tiafoe F.
Serve
38
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
61%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.5
7.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (114 vs 130). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
68
83
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Clear edge
44
57
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
92
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
78
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1704
Surface ELO
6.6+158 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1750
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1918
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
5.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
2.4
Minutes 14d
6.7
0.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
70
72

Safiullin R.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 40 games (7d) · Tiafoe F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 50%