Tommy Paul vs Alejandro TabiloShanghai Masters Round of 32

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 2 October 2024
hard
#33ATP
1819ELO
1750Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWL
Paul T.
6-7 7-6 6-2
Tabilo A.
Paul T.
627862
Tabilo A.
776621

Tommy Paul defeated Alejandro Tabilo 6-7 7-6 6-2 in the Shanghai Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Tommy Paul extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-06-17Queen's ClubR16grassTommy Paul6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Tabilo A.

Tabilo A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Tabilo A.
71
Serve
51
54
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Even
40%
36%
Break points saved·Even
65%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.9
6.8
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (130 vs 152). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
93
74
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Dominant
87
59
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
56

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+131 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Hard Elo 1750
6.0Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1819
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.8
Surface form
1.4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
7.3
7.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
97

Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Tabilo A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 50%