Kei Nishikori vs Mariano NavoneShanghai Masters Round of 128

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#717ATP
1714ELO
1680Hard ELO
36 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 2 October 2024
hard
#48ATP
1822ELO
1693Hard ELO
$722kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWWL
Nishikori K.
3-6 6-4 6-3
Navone M.
Nishikori K.
3662
Navone M.
6431

Kei Nishikori defeated Mariano Navone 3-6 6-4 6-3 in the Shanghai Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mariano Navone came in ranked #48.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nishikori K.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Navone M.

Navone M.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Nishikori K.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nishikori K.Navone M.
Serve
3
Return
51

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Even
39%
42%
Break points saved·Even
59%
56%
Aces / match·Even
2.4
2.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (64 vs 148). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
88
75
Break points saved·Slight edge
97
86
Break points won·Clear edge
74
90
Deciding sets·Clear edge
100
77
Tiebreaks·Dominant
97
60

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1Hard Elo 1680
Surface ELO
4.9+13 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1714
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1822
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.2
Surface form
1.7
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.5
Minutes 14d
8.1
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
96

Navone M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 50%