Yosuke Watanuki vs Brandon Nakashima — Shanghai Masters Round of 64

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 64
Yosuke Watanuki
JPN
Yosuke Watanuki
#294ATP
1541ELO
1531Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 2 October 2024
hard
Brandon Nakashima
USA32
Brandon Nakashima
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Watanuki Y.
7-6 6-3
Nakashima B.
Watanuki Y.
7762
Nakashima B.
6430

Yosuke Watanuki defeated Brandon Nakashima 7-6 6-3 in the Shanghai Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Watanuki Y.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Watanuki Y.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Watanuki Y.Nakashima B.
—
Serve
61
—
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Watanuki Y.Nakashima B.
1st serve in·Clear edge
53%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
55%
Service points won·Even
64%
68%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
66%
Aces / match·Even
8.2
8.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (84 vs 176). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Watanuki Y.Nakashima B.
Clutch Rating·Even
52
56
Break points saved·Slight edge
89
99
Break points won·Slight edge
20
13
Deciding sets·Even
61
64
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
81
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Watanuki Y.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Nakashima B.
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1531
Surface ELO
7.7+257 Hard Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1541
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1839
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.8
Surface form
6.6
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.7
Minutes 14d
5.0
4.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Watanuki Y.Nakashima B.
Freshness·Even
90
86

Watanuki Y.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Nakashima B.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 50%
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Djokovic N.[4]
7-646-3
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[1]
Machac T.[30]
6-47-5
Djokovic N.[4]
Fritz T.[7]
6-47-66
Quarter-finals
Sinner J.[1]
Medvedev D.[5]
6-16-4
Fritz T.[7]
Goffin D.
6-36-4
Djokovic N.[4]
Mensik J.
6-746-16-4
Machac T.[30]
Alcaraz C.[3]
7-657-5
R16
Alcaraz C.[3]
Monfils G.
6-47-5
Djokovic N.[4]
Safiullin R.
6-36-2
Goffin D.
Zverev A.[2]
6-47-5
Sinner J.[1]
Shelton B.[14]
6-47-61
Machac T.[30]
Paul T.[11]
3-66-46-3
Medvedev D.[5]
Tsitsipas S.[10]
7-636-3
Mensik J.
Dimitrov G.[9]
6-33-66-4
Fritz T.[7]
Rune H.[12]
6-16-2
R32
Mensik J.
Shevchenko A.
6-16-756-2
Rune H.[12]
Lehecka J.
6-47-5
Machac T.[30]
Vukic A.
6-46-2
Shelton B.[14]
Carballes Baena R.
6-36-4
Goffin D.
Giron M.
1-66-37-5
Paul T.[11]
Tabilo A.[19]
6-727-666-2
Tsitsipas S.[10]
Muller A.
6-37-5
Monfils G.
Humbert U.[16]
7-672-66-1
Safiullin R.
Tiafoe F.[13]
5-77-57-65
Fritz T.[7]
Watanuki Y.
6-36-4
Dimitrov G.[9]
Popyrin A.[20]
7-656-2
Medvedev D.[5]
Arnaldi M.[29]
5-76-46-4
Sinner J.[1]
Etcheverry T.[31]
6-736-46-2
Alcaraz C.[3]
Wu Y.
7-656-3
Zverev A.[2]
Griekspoor T.
7-662-67-65
Djokovic N.[4]
Cobolli F.[28]
6-16-2
R64
Carballes Baena R.
Fils A.[21]
7-647-65
Fritz T.[7]
Atmane T.
7-647-65
Djokovic N.[4]
Michelsen A.
7-637-69
Rune H.[12]
Berrettini M.
4-66-46-3
Sinner J.[1]
Daniel T.
6-16-4
Shelton B.[14]
Shapovalov D.
6-37-5
Tsitsipas S.[10]
Nishikori K.
7-666-4
Muller A.
Auger Aliassime F.[18]
6-36-2
Arnaldi M.[29]
Svajda Z.
6-726-26-4
Medvedev D.[5]
Seyboth Wild T.
7-57-5
Wu Y.
Jarry N.[25]
6-26-1
Humbert U.[16]
Cazaux A.
6-36-2
Machac T.[30]
Davidovich Fokina A.
1-67-636-4
Vukic A.
Ruud C.[8]
6-46-4
Popyrin A.[20]
Kecmanovic M.
6-36-2
Dimitrov G.[9]
Bergs Z.
6-33-66-2
Cobolli F.[28]
Wawrinka S.
6-767-646-3
Watanuki Y.
Nakashima B.[32]
7-646-3
Lehecka J.
Munar J.
7-666-4
Giron M.
Khachanov K.[24]
6-46-3
Griekspoor T.
Thompson J.[26]
6-36-2
Monfils G.
Baez S.[22]
6-34-66-4
Shevchenko A.
Cerundolo F.[27]
7-677-5
Safiullin R.
Bublik A.[23]
6-46-2
Paul T.[11]
Fognini F.
6-16-3
Goffin D.
Musetti L.[15]
1-67-666-2
Tiafoe F.[13]
Zhou Y.
6-26-4
Tabilo A.[19]
Rinderknech A.
6-36-2
Etcheverry T.[31]
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-653-67-5
Mensik J.
Rublev A.[6]
6-776-46-3
Alcaraz C.[3]
Shang J.
6-26-2
Zverev A.[2]
Bellucci M.
6-46-2
R128
Nishikori K.
Navone M.
3-66-46-3
Svajda Z.
Mannarino A.
6-31-66-0
Zhou Y.
Nishioka Y.
2-4
Wawrinka S.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
7-627-66
Berrettini M.
Oconnell C.
7-697-66
Shapovalov D.
Sonego L.
7-657-68
Rinderknech A.
Opelka R.
6-47-65
Carballes Baena R.
Bautista Agut R.
3-66-36-2
Daniel T.
Gerasimov E.
6-756-36-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Carreno Busta P.
7-656-2
Seyboth Wild T.
Evans D.
6-24-67-63
Shang J.
Wong C.
6-46-4
Wu Y.
Nagal S.
6-36-3
Monfils G.
Dzumhur D.
6-46-3
Cazaux A.
Cilic M.
6-46-4
Davidovich Fokina A.
Diallo G.
7-57-67
Mensik J.
Martinez P.
6-15-76-4
Shevchenko A.
Ramanathan R.
6-17-63
Kecmanovic M.
Hijikata R.
6-26-2
Bergs Z.
Zhang Z.
6-46-3
Michelsen A.
Yunchaokete B.
6-36-4
Goffin D.
Duckworth J.
6-46-2
Griekspoor T.
Diaz Acosta F.
6-46-766-3
Muller A.
Nardi L.
4-66-16-1
Vukic A.
Moutet C.
2-66-36-4
Munar J.
Gaston H.
6-36-3
Fognini F.
Darderi L.
6-46-756-4
Giron M.
Tu L.
6-17-64
Bellucci M.
Harris B.
6-36-4
Safiullin R.
Zhukayev B.
7-606-4
Atmane T.
Kovacevic A.
6-47-64
Watanuki Y.
Kotov P.
6-766-47-5