Aleksandar Vukic vs Corentin MoutetShanghai Masters Round of 128

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#104ATP
1630ELO
1597Hard ELO
$366kYTD
$3.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 2 October 2024
hard
#39ATP
1745ELO
1727Hard ELO
$731kYTD
$6.4MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLLLL
Vukic A.
2-6 6-3 6-4
Moutet C.
Vukic A.
2662
Moutet C.
6341

Aleksandar Vukic defeated Corentin Moutet 2-6 6-3 6-4 in the Shanghai Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Corentin Moutet came in ranked #39, defending last year's round of 128. Aleksandar Vukic extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-02MetzR32hardAleksandar Vukic3-6 7-6(6) 7-6(8)

Serve vs return

This season
Vukic A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Moutet C.

Moutet C.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Vukic A.

Serve advantage — Moutet C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Vukic A.Moutet C.
21
Serve
7
7
Return
68

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
40%
Break points saved·Even
63%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.5
2.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (156 vs 141). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
58
82
Break points saved·Even
97
97
Break points won·Dominant
16
75
Deciding sets·Clear edge
72
88
Tiebreaks·Even
80
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.8Hard Elo 1597
Surface ELO
7.2+130 Hard Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1630
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1745
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.3
Surface form
4.9
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.8
Minutes 14d
6.5
4.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
87
94

Vukic A.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Moutet C.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 50%