David Goffin vs Alexander ZverevShanghai Masters Round of 16

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#241ATP
1665ELO
1626Hard ELO
35 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 2 October 2024
hard
#3ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
Goffin D.
6-4 7-5
Zverev A.
Goffin D.
672
Zverev A.
450

David Goffin defeated Alexander Zverev 6-4 7-5 in the Shanghai Masters round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 4–2, defending last year's round of 64. David Goffin narrowed the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

Head to head

24
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR64clayAlexander Zverev7-6(4) 6-2 6-2
2023-05-08Rome MastersR64clayAlexander Zverev5-7 6-3 6-4
2021-04-12Monte Carlo MastersR16clayDavid Goffin6-4 7-6(7)
2019-06-17HalleQFgrassDavid Goffin3-6 6-1 7-6(3)
2018-05-14Rome MastersQFclayAlexander Zverev6-4 3-6 6-3
2016-04-25MunichQFclayAlexander Zverev6-3 4-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Goffin D.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Zverev A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Goffin D.

Serve advantage — Zverev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Goffin D.Zverev A.
12
Serve
71
43
Return
42

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
58%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
70%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.7
8.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (124 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
82
94
Break points saved·Even
96
100
Break points won·Dominant
64
90
Deciding sets·Even
96
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
81
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 44 days (−0.7)
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.0Hard Elo 1626
Surface ELO
10.0+416 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1665
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2100
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.2
Surface form
6.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.3
Prev. match
6.0
Country comfort
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
52

Goffin D.: 20 days rest · Zverev A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 103 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 50%