David Goffin vs Lorenzo MusettiShanghai Masters Round of 64

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#241ATP
1665ELO
1626Hard ELO
35 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 2 October 2024
hard
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Goffin D.
1-6 7-6 6-2
Musetti L.
Goffin D.
17862
Musetti L.
66621

David Goffin defeated Lorenzo Musetti 1-6 7-6 6-2 in the Shanghai Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 64. David Goffin claimed a first win over Lorenzo Musetti in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-25US OpenR64hardLorenzo Musetti6-4 6-0 6-2
2022-08-29US OpenR128hardLorenzo Musetti3-6 7-5 6-4 3-6 7-6(9)
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR128clayLorenzo Musetti6-0 7-5 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Goffin D.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Goffin D.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Goffin D.Musetti L.
12
Serve
54
43
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
54%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Even
56%
60%
Aces / match·Even
4.6
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (124 vs 155). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
82
89
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Clear edge
64
82
Deciding sets·Even
96
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
81
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 44 days (−0.7)
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.5Hard Elo 1626
Surface ELO
8.5+178 Hard Elo edge
1.2Overall Elo 1665
ELO gap
8.8Overall Elo 1869
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.2
Surface form
5.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
2.5
3-set count
0.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Goffin D.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 50%