Arthur Cazaux vs Marin CilicShanghai Masters Round of 128

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#98ATP
1793ELO
1738Hard ELO
$46kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 2 October 2024
hard
#88ATP
1800ELO
1762Hard ELO
$776kYTD
$33MCAREER
37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
Cazaux A.
6-4 6-4
Cilic M.
Cazaux A.
662
Cilic M.
440

Arthur Cazaux defeated Marin Cilic 6-4 6-4 in the Shanghai Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Marin Cilic came in ranked #88.

Key context

  • Match story: Arthur Cazaux edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Cazaux A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Cilic M.

Cilic M.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Cazaux A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cazaux A.Cilic M.
40
Serve
57
19
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
65%
68%
Aces / match·Slight edge
8.5
9.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (115 vs 84). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
65
76
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Clear edge
27
41
Deciding sets·Slight edge
87
94
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
70
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1738
Surface ELO
5.4+24 Hard Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1793
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1800
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.4
Surface form
7.7
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.9
Minutes 14d
2.8
7.0
3-set count
0.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Cilic M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 50%