Tomas Machac vs Carlos Alcaraz — Shanghai Masters Quarter-final

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
Tomas Machac
CZE30
Tomas Machac
#49ATP
1866ELO
1829Hard ELO
$832kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 2 October 2024
hard
Carlos Alcaraz
ESP3
Carlos Alcaraz
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Machac T.
7-6 7-5
Alcaraz C.
Machac T.
7772
Alcaraz C.
6550

Tomas Machac defeated Carlos Alcaraz 7-6 7-5 in the Shanghai Masters quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Tomas Machac claimed a first win over Carlos Alcaraz in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-11Davis Cup Finals RR: CZE vs ESPRRhardCarlos Alcaraz6-7(3) 6-1 RET
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Machac T.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Alcaraz C.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Machac T.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Machac T.Alcaraz C.
30
Serve
74
25
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Machac T.Alcaraz C.
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
57%
Service points won·Even
64%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
66%
Aces / match·Even
5.6
5.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (121 vs 170). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Machac T.Alcaraz C.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
90
98
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Clear edge
80
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
100
Tiebreaks·Even
97
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Machac T.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Alcaraz C.
9.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.3Hard Elo 1829
Surface ELO
9.7+259 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1866
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2162
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.8
Surface form
9.4
Win streak
10.09-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.0
Minutes 14d
2.5
0.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 50%
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Djokovic N.[4]
7-646-3
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[1]
Machac T.[30]
6-47-5
Djokovic N.[4]
Fritz T.[7]
6-47-66
Quarter-finals
Sinner J.[1]
Medvedev D.[5]
6-16-4
Fritz T.[7]
Goffin D.
6-36-4
Djokovic N.[4]
Mensik J.
6-746-16-4
Machac T.[30]
Alcaraz C.[3]
7-657-5
R16
Alcaraz C.[3]
Monfils G.
6-47-5
Djokovic N.[4]
Safiullin R.
6-36-2
Goffin D.
Zverev A.[2]
6-47-5
Sinner J.[1]
Shelton B.[14]
6-47-61
Machac T.[30]
Paul T.[11]
3-66-46-3
Medvedev D.[5]
Tsitsipas S.[10]
7-636-3
Mensik J.
Dimitrov G.[9]
6-33-66-4
Fritz T.[7]
Rune H.[12]
6-16-2
R32
Mensik J.
Shevchenko A.
6-16-756-2
Rune H.[12]
Lehecka J.
6-47-5
Machac T.[30]
Vukic A.
6-46-2
Shelton B.[14]
Carballes Baena R.
6-36-4
Goffin D.
Giron M.
1-66-37-5
Paul T.[11]
Tabilo A.[19]
6-727-666-2
Tsitsipas S.[10]
Muller A.
6-37-5
Monfils G.
Humbert U.[16]
7-672-66-1
Safiullin R.
Tiafoe F.[13]
5-77-57-65
Fritz T.[7]
Watanuki Y.
6-36-4
Dimitrov G.[9]
Popyrin A.[20]
7-656-2
Medvedev D.[5]
Arnaldi M.[29]
5-76-46-4
Sinner J.[1]
Etcheverry T.[31]
6-736-46-2
Alcaraz C.[3]
Wu Y.
7-656-3
Zverev A.[2]
Griekspoor T.
7-662-67-65
Djokovic N.[4]
Cobolli F.[28]
6-16-2
R64
Carballes Baena R.
Fils A.[21]
7-647-65
Fritz T.[7]
Atmane T.
7-647-65
Djokovic N.[4]
Michelsen A.
7-637-69
Rune H.[12]
Berrettini M.
4-66-46-3
Sinner J.[1]
Daniel T.
6-16-4
Shelton B.[14]
Shapovalov D.
6-37-5
Tsitsipas S.[10]
Nishikori K.
7-666-4
Muller A.
Auger Aliassime F.[18]
6-36-2
Arnaldi M.[29]
Svajda Z.
6-726-26-4
Medvedev D.[5]
Seyboth Wild T.
7-57-5
Wu Y.
Jarry N.[25]
6-26-1
Humbert U.[16]
Cazaux A.
6-36-2
Machac T.[30]
Davidovich Fokina A.
1-67-636-4
Vukic A.
Ruud C.[8]
6-46-4
Popyrin A.[20]
Kecmanovic M.
6-36-2
Dimitrov G.[9]
Bergs Z.
6-33-66-2
Cobolli F.[28]
Wawrinka S.
6-767-646-3
Watanuki Y.
Nakashima B.[32]
7-646-3
Lehecka J.
Munar J.
7-666-4
Giron M.
Khachanov K.[24]
6-46-3
Griekspoor T.
Thompson J.[26]
6-36-2
Monfils G.
Baez S.[22]
6-34-66-4
Shevchenko A.
Cerundolo F.[27]
7-677-5
Safiullin R.
Bublik A.[23]
6-46-2
Paul T.[11]
Fognini F.
6-16-3
Goffin D.
Musetti L.[15]
1-67-666-2
Tiafoe F.[13]
Zhou Y.
6-26-4
Tabilo A.[19]
Rinderknech A.
6-36-2
Etcheverry T.[31]
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-653-67-5
Mensik J.
Rublev A.[6]
6-776-46-3
Alcaraz C.[3]
Shang J.
6-26-2
Zverev A.[2]
Bellucci M.
6-46-2
R128
Nishikori K.
Navone M.
3-66-46-3
Svajda Z.
Mannarino A.
6-31-66-0
Zhou Y.
Nishioka Y.
2-4
Wawrinka S.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
7-627-66
Berrettini M.
Oconnell C.
7-697-66
Shapovalov D.
Sonego L.
7-657-68
Rinderknech A.
Opelka R.
6-47-65
Carballes Baena R.
Bautista Agut R.
3-66-36-2
Daniel T.
Gerasimov E.
6-756-36-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Carreno Busta P.
7-656-2
Seyboth Wild T.
Evans D.
6-24-67-63
Shang J.
Wong C.
6-46-4
Wu Y.
Nagal S.
6-36-3
Monfils G.
Dzumhur D.
6-46-3
Cazaux A.
Cilic M.
6-46-4
Davidovich Fokina A.
Diallo G.
7-57-67
Mensik J.
Martinez P.
6-15-76-4
Shevchenko A.
Ramanathan R.
6-17-63
Kecmanovic M.
Hijikata R.
6-26-2
Bergs Z.
Zhang Z.
6-46-3
Michelsen A.
Yunchaokete B.
6-36-4
Goffin D.
Duckworth J.
6-46-2
Griekspoor T.
Diaz Acosta F.
6-46-766-3
Muller A.
Nardi L.
4-66-16-1
Vukic A.
Moutet C.
2-66-36-4
Munar J.
Gaston H.
6-36-3
Fognini F.
Darderi L.
6-46-756-4
Giron M.
Tu L.
6-17-64
Bellucci M.
Harris B.
6-36-4
Safiullin R.
Zhukayev B.
7-606-4
Atmane T.
Kovacevic A.
6-47-64
Watanuki Y.
Kotov P.
6-766-47-5