Ajla Tomljanovic vs Clara TausonHong Kong 125 Final

Hong Kong 125 · CHALLENGER · Final
#92WTA
1745ELO
1723Hard ELO
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 September 2024
hard
#30WTA
1802ELO
1775Hard ELO
$792kYTD
$5.2MCAREER
23 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLLL
Tomljanovic A.
4-6 6-4 6-4
Tauson C.
Tomljanovic A.
4662
Tauson C.
6441

Ajla Tomljanovic defeated Clara Tauson 4-6 6-4 6-4 in the Hong Kong 125 final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Clara Tauson came in ranked #30. Ajla Tomljanovic extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-12AdelaideR32hardAjla Tomljanovic7-6(5) 0-0 RET
2025-10-13NingboR32hardAjla Tomljanovic1-6 7-6(4) 6-3
2025-08-07CincinnatiR64hardClara Tauson6-3 6-7(5) 6-4
2021-04-12Charleston 2R16clayClara Tauson6-1 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Tomljanovic A.serving56% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Tauson C.

Tauson C.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Tomljanovic A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tomljanovic A.Tauson C.
26
Serve
56
52
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
60%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Even
55%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.7
6.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.1
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (106 vs 128). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
71
73
Break points saved·Clear edge
73
93
Break points won·Even
92
93
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
57
Tiebreaks·Even
78
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1723
Surface ELO
5.8+53 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1745
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1802
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.2
Surface form
3.9
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
5.2
4.0
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
99

Tomljanovic A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Tauson C.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast