Ajla Tomljanovic vs Marina StakusicHong Kong 125 Round of 32

Hong Kong 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#92WTA
1745ELO
1723Hard ELO
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 September 2024
hard
#138WTA
1707ELO
1672Hard ELO
21 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
Tomljanovic A.
6-4 5-7 6-0
Stakusic M.
Tomljanovic A.
6562
Stakusic M.
4701

Ajla Tomljanovic defeated Marina Stakusic 6-4 5-7 6-0 in the Hong Kong 125 round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Ajla Tomljanovic came in ranked #92.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Tomljanovic A.serving51% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Stakusic M.

Stakusic M.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Tomljanovic A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tomljanovic A.Stakusic M.
26
Serve
52
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
56%
Aces / match·Even
2.6
2.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
6.1
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (106 vs 95). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
71
61
Break points saved·Even
73
73
Break points won·Even
92
94
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
54
Tiebreaks·
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+51 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Hard Elo 1672
5.7Overall Elo 1745
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1707
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.2
Surface form
3.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Tomljanovic A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast