Ajla Tomljanovic vs Elena Gabriela RuseHong Kong 125 Round of 16

Hong Kong 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#92WTA
1745ELO
1723Hard ELO
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 September 2024
hard
#72WTA
1850ELO
1754Hard ELO
28 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWWLW
Tomljanovic A.
7-5 6-3
Ruse E.
Tomljanovic A.
762
Ruse E.
53

Ajla Tomljanovic defeated Elena Gabriela Ruse 7-5 6-3 in the Hong Kong 125 round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Gabriela Ruse came in ranked #72. Ajla Tomljanovic extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian WellsR128hardAjla Tomljanovic7-5 6-2
2026-01-19Australian OpenR64hardElena Gabriela Ruse6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Tomljanovic A.serving51% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Ruse E.

Ruse E.serving59% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Tomljanovic A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tomljanovic A.Ruse E.
26
Serve
0
52
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
3.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.1
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (106 vs 117). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
71
66
Break points saved·Even
73
72
Break points won·Slight edge
92
98
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
78
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Hard Elo 1723
Surface ELO
5.0+32 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1745
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1850
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.2
Surface form
7.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
7.6
4.0
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
98

Tomljanovic A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Ruse E.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast