Juan Pablo Varillas vs Roman Andres BurruchagaBuenos Aires 2 CH Round of 16

Buenos Aires 2 CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#279ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 September 2024
clay
#67ATP
1711ELO
1694Clay ELO
$446kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLWLW
Varillas J.
6-1 6-3
Burruchaga R.
Varillas J.
662
Burruchaga R.
130

Juan Pablo Varillas defeated Roman Andres Burruchaga 6-1 6-3 in the Buenos Aires 2 CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Roman Andres Burruchaga came in ranked #67, but Juan Pablo Varillas had been the form player, winning 4 of their last 8 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Varillas J.serving61% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Burruchaga R.

Burruchaga R.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Even
41%
43%
Break points saved·Even
58%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.5
2.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (131 vs 190). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
55
66
Break points saved·Clear edge
80
68
Break points won·Dominant
43
73
Deciding sets·Clear edge
63
84
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
72
64

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
1.6Clay Elo 1431
Surface ELO
8.4+263 Clay Elo edge
1.5Overall Elo 1440
ELO gap
8.5Overall Elo 1711
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
6.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.7
Prev. match
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
62
94

Varillas J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d) · Burruchaga R.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast