Ajla Tomljanovic vs Anna BlinkovaHong Kong 125 Semi-final

Hong Kong 125 · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#92WTA
1745ELO
1723Hard ELO
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 September 2024
hard
#102WTA
1694ELO
1654Hard ELO
27 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLWW
Tomljanovic A.
6-4 2-6 6-3
Blinkova A.
Tomljanovic A.
6262
Blinkova A.
4631

Ajla Tomljanovic defeated Anna Blinkova 6-4 2-6 6-3 in the Hong Kong 125 semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Ajla Tomljanovic came in ranked #92, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Ajla Tomljanovic extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-06-17BirminghamR32grassAjla Tomljanovic6-2 6-1
2018-04-02MonterreyR16hardAjla Tomljanovic6-2 5-7 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Tomljanovic A.serving51% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Blinkova A.

Blinkova A.serving46% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Tomljanovic A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tomljanovic A.Blinkova A.
26
Serve
0
52
Return
47

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
43%
Service points won·Even
56%
53%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.1
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (106 vs 127). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
71
66
Break points saved·Clear edge
73
58
Break points won·Even
92
94
Deciding sets·Slight edge
75
68
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
78
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+69 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1654
5.9Overall Elo 1745
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1694
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.2
Surface form
1.5
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 8
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
9.4
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
98
75

Tomljanovic A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Blinkova A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast