Roman Safiullin vs Stan WawrinkaBeijing Round of 32

Beijing · ATP · Round of 32
#132ATP
1750ELO
1704Hard ELO
$199kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 26 September 2024
hard
#109ATP
1678ELO
1664Hard ELO
$657kYTD
$38MCAREER
41 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLLLL
Safiullin R.
6-3 6-4
Wawrinka S.
Safiullin R.
662
Wawrinka S.
340

Roman Safiullin defeated Stan Wawrinka 6-3 6-4 in the Beijing round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Stan Wawrinka came in ranked #109.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Safiullin R.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Wawrinka S.

Wawrinka S.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Safiullin R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Safiullin R.Wawrinka S.
Serve
48
Return
8

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Even
6.5
6.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (114 vs 97). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
68
65
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Clear edge
44
30
Deciding sets·Slight edge
76
71
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
78
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 59 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
5.6+40 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1664
6.2Overall Elo 1750
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1678
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
2.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.3
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
70
92

Safiullin R.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 40 games (7d) · Wawrinka S.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 59%