Jannik Sinner vs Roman SafiullinBeijing Round of 16

Beijing · ATP · Round of 16
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 26 September 2024
hard
#132ATP
1750ELO
1704Hard ELO
$199kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Sinner J.
3-6 6-2 6-3
Safiullin R.
Sinner J.
3662
Safiullin R.
6231

Jannik Sinner defeated Roman Safiullin 3-6 6-2 6-3 in the Beijing round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending the title. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-03WimbledonQFgrassJannik Sinner6-4 3-6 6-2 6-2
2022-01-03Atp CupRRhardJannik Sinner7-6(6) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Safiullin R.

Safiullin R.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sinner J.Safiullin R.
100
Serve
100
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
80%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
59%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
72%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
37%
Break points saved·Clear edge
73%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.4
6.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (173 vs 114). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
100
68
Break points saved·Even
100
96
Break points won·Dominant
100
44
Deciding sets·Clear edge
100
76
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 45 days (−0.7)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+560 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1704
10.0Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1750
10.0
H2H
0.0
9.3
Surface form
6.6
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.3
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
53
70

Sinner J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 95 games (7d) · Safiullin R.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 40 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 59%