Bu Yunchaokete vs Andrey RublevBeijing Quarter-final

Beijing · ATP · Quarter-final
1709ELO
1644Hard ELO
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 26 September 2024
hard
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Yunchaokete B.
7-5 6-4
Rublev A.
Yunchaokete B.
762
Rublev A.
540

Bu Yunchaokete defeated Andrey Rublev 7-5 6-4 in the Beijing quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in defending last year's round of 16, but Bu Yunchaokete had arrived on a 3-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Yunchaokete B.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Yunchaokete B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Yunchaokete B.Rublev A.
24
Serve
55
25
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
65%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.4
7.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.7
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (147 vs 150). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
36
88
Break points saved·Even
97
100
Break points won·Dominant
26
72
Deciding sets·Dominant
38
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
16
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 45 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
1.9Hard Elo 1644
Surface ELO
8.1+205 Hard Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1709
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 1902
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
7.6
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
2.4
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Country comfort
5.7
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
85
94

Yunchaokete B.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d) · Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 59%