Bu Yunchaokete vs Lorenzo MusettiBeijing Round of 16

Beijing · ATP · Round of 16
1709ELO
1644Hard ELO
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 26 September 2024
hard
#14ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Yunchaokete B.
6-2 6-4
Musetti L.
Yunchaokete B.
662
Musetti L.
240

Bu Yunchaokete defeated Lorenzo Musetti 6-2 6-4 in the Beijing round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16, but Bu Yunchaokete had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Bu Yunchaokete claimed a first win over Lorenzo Musetti in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersR64clayLorenzo Musetti4-6 7-5 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Yunchaokete B.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Yunchaokete B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Yunchaokete B.Musetti L.
24
Serve
54
23
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.4
4.1
Double faults / match·Even
1.7
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (147 vs 155). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
36
89
Break points saved·Even
97
98
Break points won·Dominant
26
82
Deciding sets·Dominant
38
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
16
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.1Hard Elo 1644
Surface ELO
8.9+160 Hard Elo edge
0.8Overall Elo 1709
ELO gap
9.2Overall Elo 1869
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
6.2
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
2.4
Minutes 14d
5.1
4.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
7.0
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
89

Yunchaokete B.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 59%