Pavel Kotov vs Yi Zhou — Beijing Round of 32

Beijing · ATP · Round of 32
Pavel Kotov
RUS
Pavel Kotov
#246ATP
1597ELO
1601Hard ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 26 September 2024
hard
CHN
Yi Zhou
#236ATP
1456ELO
1445Hard ELO
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWW
Kotov P.
1-6 6-3 7-5
Zhou Y.
Kotov P.
1672
Zhou Y.
6351

Pavel Kotov defeated Yi Zhou 1-6 6-3 7-5 in the Beijing round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Yi Zhou came in ranked #236, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

  • Match story: Pavel Kotov dropped the opening set before beating Yi Zhou 1–6 6–3 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kotov P.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Zhou Y.

Zhou Y.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Kotov P.

Serve advantage — Zhou Y.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Kotov P.Zhou Y.
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.0
5.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (105 vs 83). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kotov P.Zhou Y.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
59
13
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
87
Break points won·Even
13
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
82
1
Tiebreaks·Dominant
76
14

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kotov P.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Zhou Y.
3.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
7.1+156 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Hard Elo 1445
7.1Overall Elo 1597
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1456
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.6
Surface form
2.3
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
6.5
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
4.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kotov P.Zhou Y.
Freshness·
—
76

Zhou Y.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 65 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 59%
Final
Alcaraz C.[2]
Sinner J.[1]
6-766-47-63
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[1]
Yunchaokete B.
6-37-63
Alcaraz C.[2]
Medvedev D.[3]
7-56-3
Quarter-finals
Alcaraz C.[2]
Khachanov K.[7]
7-56-2
Sinner J.[1]
Lehecka J.
6-27-66
Medvedev D.[3]
Cobolli F.
6-26-4
Yunchaokete B.
Rublev A.[4]
7-56-4
R16
Lehecka J.
Bautista Agut R.
3-66-26-1
Medvedev D.[3]
Mannarino A.
7-666-2
Sinner J.[1]
Safiullin R.
3-66-26-3
Khachanov K.[7]
Cerundolo F.
7-647-69
Cobolli F.
Kotov P.
6-46-2
Alcaraz C.[2]
Griekspoor T.
6-16-2
Rublev A.[4]
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-47-5
Yunchaokete B.
Musetti L.[6]
6-26-4
R32
Kotov P.
Zhou Y.
1-66-37-5
Lehecka J.
Martinez P.
7-646-2
Medvedev D.[3]
Monfils G.
6-36-4
Sinner J.[1]
Jarry N.
4-66-36-1
Alcaraz C.[2]
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-46-4
Rublev A.[4]
Carreno Busta P.
6-04-66-4
Cobolli F.
Bublik A.[8]
4-66-17-64
Yunchaokete B.
Shang J.
6-736-26-4
Griekspoor T.
Kecmanovic M.
6-736-46-3
Cerundolo F.
Mensik J.
7-646-1
Musetti L.[6]
Bergs Z.
7-54-66-3
Khachanov K.[7]
Carballes Baena R.
6-46-4
Bautista Agut R.
Rinderknech A.
6-36-4
Davidovich Fokina A.
Zhang Z.
6-34-66-3
Mannarino A.
Sonego L.
1-66-26-3
Safiullin R.
Wawrinka S.
6-36-4