Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander BublikBeijing Round of 32

Beijing · ATP · Round of 32
#9ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 26 September 2024
hard
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Cobolli F.
4-6 6-1 7-6
Bublik A.
Cobolli F.
46772
Bublik A.
61641

Flavio Cobolli defeated Alexander Bublik 4-6 6-1 7-6 in the Beijing round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #9.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Cobolli F.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cobolli F.Bublik A.
20
Serve
65
35
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
47%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
63%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.4
11.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.2
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (159 vs 140). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
88
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Dominant
35
67
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Even
95
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1810
Surface ELO
5.6+27 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1896
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1889
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
3.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.3
Minutes 14d
8.0
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
66
74

Cobolli F.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 63 games (7d) · Bublik A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 59%