Pavel Kotov vs Roberto Carballes BaenaBeijing Qualifying Round 2

Beijing · ATP · Qualifying Round 2
#246ATP
1597ELO
1601Hard ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 26 September 2024
hard
#165ATP
1632ELO
1592Hard ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWW
Kotov P.
7-6 4-6 6-3
Carballes Baena R.
Kotov P.
77462
Carballes Baena R.
63631

Pavel Kotov defeated Roberto Carballes Baena 7-6 4-6 6-3 in the Beijing qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Roberto Carballes Baena came in ranked #165, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Pavel Kotov claimed a first win over Roberto Carballes Baena in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Pavel Kotov closed it out in three sets, 7–6 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-01MarrakechSFclayRoberto Carballes Baena6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Kotov P.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Carballes Baena R.

Carballes Baena R.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Kotov P.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
36%
39%
Break points saved·Even
63%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.0
3.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (106 vs 136). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
59
61
Break points saved·Even
94
93
Break points won·Dominant
13
58
Deciding sets·Clear edge
82
64
Tiebreaks·Dominant
76
50

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+8 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1592
5.4Overall Elo 1597
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1632
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.6
Surface form
4.4
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
6.5
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
93

Carballes Baena R.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 12 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 59%