Holger Rune vs Alejandro Tabilo — Tokyo Round of 32

Tokyo · ATP · Round of 32
Holger Rune
DEN6
Holger Rune
#77ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 25 September 2024
hard
Alejandro Tabilo
CHI
Alejandro Tabilo
#33ATP
1819ELO
1750Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWL
Rune H.
6-2 5-7 6-4
Tabilo A.
Rune H.
6562
Tabilo A.
2741

Holger Rune defeated Alejandro Tabilo 6-2 5-7 6-4 in the Tokyo round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alejandro Tabilo came in ranked #33.

Key context

  • Match story: Holger Rune closed it out in three sets, 6–2 5–7 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Tabilo A.

Tabilo A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rune H.Tabilo A.
47
Serve
51
58
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Rune H.Tabilo A.
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
36%
Break points saved·Even
64%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.0
6.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (120 vs 152). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rune H.Tabilo A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
91
74
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Dominant
84
59
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
56

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rune H.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Tabilo A.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1725
Surface ELO
5.2+25 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1819
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
2.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
4.8
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rune H.Tabilo A.
Freshness·
—
97

Tabilo A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 31 km/hHumidity 64%
Final
Fils A.
Humbert U.
5-77-666-3
Semi-finals
Fils A.
Rune H.[6]
7-687-610
Humbert U.
Machac T.
6-33-66-2
Quarter-finals
Humbert U.
Draper J.
7-52-1
Rune H.[6]
Nishikori K.
3-66-27-5
Fils A.
Shelton B.[8]
7-56-757-62
Machac T.
Michelsen A.
7-626-3
R16
Nishikori K.
Thompson J.
6-26-3
Michelsen A.
Oconnell C.
6-16-4
Draper J.
Hurkacz H.[2]
6-46-4
Fils A.
Berrettini M.
6-750-0
Machac T.
Paul T.[5]
2-66-37-64
Shelton B.[8]
Navone M.
6-46-3
Humbert U.
Nakashima B.
6-36-2
Rune H.[6]
Nishioka Y.
6-26-4
R32
Fils A.
Fritz T.[1]
6-43-66-3
Shelton B.[8]
Opelka R.
3-66-16-4
Humbert U.
Mochizuki S.
6-16-2
Nishioka Y.
Auger Aliassime F.
7-653-67-65
Draper J.
Bellucci M.
6-46-2
Machac T.
Popyrin A.
6-36-757-5
Nishikori K.
Cilic M.
6-43-66-3
Hurkacz H.[2]
Giron M.
6-46-756-4
Thompson J.
Ruud C.[3]
7-656-1
Michelsen A.
Tsitsipas S.[4]
4-66-16-2
Nakashima B.
Tiafoe F.[7]
7-56-3
Berrettini M.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-36-4
Navone M.
Darderi L.
6-46-4
Oconnell C.
Etcheverry T.
6-47-65
Paul T.[5]
Arnaldi M.
6-36-2
Rune H.[6]
Tabilo A.
6-25-76-4