Ben Shelton vs Reilly OpelkaTokyo Round of 32

Tokyo · ATP · Round of 32
#6ATP
1960ELO
1922Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
23 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 25 September 2024
hard
#131ATP
1749ELO
1734Hard ELO
$325kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
Shelton B.
3-6 6-1 6-4
Opelka R.
Shelton B.
3662
Opelka R.
6141

Ben Shelton defeated Reilly Opelka 3-6 6-1 6-4 in the Tokyo round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Ben Shelton came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending the title. Ben Shelton extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersR64hardBen Shelton6-7(3) 7-6(4) 6-3
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersR64hardBen Shelton7-6(3) 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Shelton B.serving98% hold

wins 80% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Opelka R.serving96% hold

wins 76% of points on serve vs Shelton B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shelton B.Opelka R.
75
Serve
86
18
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
53%
Service points won·Even
69%
70%
Return points won·Slight edge
33%
28%
Break points saved·Even
71%
72%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.8
17.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (153 vs 90). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
86
63
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
58
1
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
88
Tiebreaks·Even
97
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+188 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1734
7.6Overall Elo 1960
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1749
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.1
Surface form
4.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.7
Minutes 14d
5.7
3-set count
0.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Shelton B.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 31 km/hHumidity 64%