Holger Rune vs Kei Nishikori — Tokyo Quarter-final

Tokyo · ATP · Quarter-final
Holger Rune
DEN6
Holger Rune
#77ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 25 September 2024
hard
JPN
Kei Nishikori
#720ATP
1714ELO
1680Hard ELO
36 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWL
Rune H.
3-6 6-2 7-5
Nishikori K.
Rune H.
3672
Nishikori K.
6251

Holger Rune defeated Kei Nishikori 3-6 6-2 7-5 in the Tokyo quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Holger Rune came in ranked #77.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Nishikori K.

Nishikori K.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rune H.Nishikori K.
47
Serve
—
58
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Rune H.Nishikori K.
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
62%
Return points won·Even
36%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
2.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (120 vs 64). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rune H.Nishikori K.
Clutch Rating·Even
91
88
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Slight edge
84
74
Deciding sets·Even
98
100
Tiebreaks·Even
99
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rune H.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Nishikori K.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+44 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1680
5.8Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1714
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
6.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
9.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
8.9
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 31 km/hHumidity 64%
Final
Fils A.
Humbert U.
5-77-666-3
Semi-finals
Fils A.
Rune H.[6]
7-687-610
Humbert U.
Machac T.
6-33-66-2
Quarter-finals
Humbert U.
Draper J.
7-52-1
Rune H.[6]
Nishikori K.
3-66-27-5
Fils A.
Shelton B.[8]
7-56-757-62
Machac T.
Michelsen A.
7-626-3
R16
Nishikori K.
Thompson J.
6-26-3
Michelsen A.
Oconnell C.
6-16-4
Draper J.
Hurkacz H.[2]
6-46-4
Fils A.
Berrettini M.
6-750-0
Machac T.
Paul T.[5]
2-66-37-64
Shelton B.[8]
Navone M.
6-46-3
Humbert U.
Nakashima B.
6-36-2
Rune H.[6]
Nishioka Y.
6-26-4
R32
Fils A.
Fritz T.[1]
6-43-66-3
Shelton B.[8]
Opelka R.
3-66-16-4
Humbert U.
Mochizuki S.
6-16-2
Nishioka Y.
Auger Aliassime F.
7-653-67-65
Draper J.
Bellucci M.
6-46-2
Machac T.
Popyrin A.
6-36-757-5
Nishikori K.
Cilic M.
6-43-66-3
Hurkacz H.[2]
Giron M.
6-46-756-4
Thompson J.
Ruud C.[3]
7-656-1
Michelsen A.
Tsitsipas S.[4]
4-66-16-2
Nakashima B.
Tiafoe F.[7]
7-56-3
Berrettini M.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-36-4
Navone M.
Darderi L.
6-46-4
Oconnell C.
Etcheverry T.
6-47-65
Paul T.[5]
Arnaldi M.
6-36-2
Rune H.[6]
Tabilo A.
6-25-76-4