Alex Michelsen vs Yasutaka UchiyamaTokyo Qualifying Round 1

Tokyo · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 25 September 2024
hard
#336ATP
1463ELO
1431Hard ELO
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWWW
Michelsen A.
6-3 6-4
Uchiyama Y.
Michelsen A.
662
Uchiyama Y.
340

Alex Michelsen defeated Yasutaka Uchiyama 6-3 6-4 in the Tokyo qualifying round 1 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex Michelsen came in ranked #46.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Michelsen A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Uchiyama Y.

Uchiyama Y.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Michelsen A.Uchiyama Y.
34
Serve
46
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
62%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.9
6.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (158 vs 132). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
30
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
91
Break points won·Dominant
46
2
Deciding sets·Dominant
91
45
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
23

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 37 days (−1.0)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.4+379 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.6Hard Elo 1431
9.2Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
0.8Overall Elo 1463
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.3
Surface form
7.7
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
4.4
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
70

Michelsen A.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 31 km/hHumidity 64%