Alex Michelsen vs Christopher OconnellTokyo Round of 16

Tokyo · ATP · Round of 16
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 25 September 2024
hard
1673ELO
1657Hard ELO
32 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWWW
Michelsen A.
6-1 6-4
Oconnell C.
Michelsen A.
662
Oconnell C.
140

Alex Michelsen defeated Christopher Oconnell 6-1 6-4 in the Tokyo round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex Michelsen came in leading the head-to-head 1–0. Alex Michelsen extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-12-30BrisbaneR32hardAlex Michelsen6-4 4-6 7-6(10)

Serve vs return

This season
Michelsen A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Oconnell C.

Oconnell C.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Michelsen A.Oconnell C.
34
Serve
20
46
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
62%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.9
7.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (157 vs 127). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
49
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Clear edge
46
22
Deciding sets·Dominant
91
38
Tiebreaks·Even
95
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 37 days (−1.0)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.9+153 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Hard Elo 1657
7.0Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1673
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.3
Surface form
7.9
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.5
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
66

Michelsen A.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 31 km/hHumidity 64%