Tomas Machac vs Alexei PopyrinTokyo Round of 32

Tokyo · ATP · Round of 32
#49ATP
1866ELO
1829Hard ELO
$832kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 25 September 2024
hard
#103ATP
1741ELO
1681Hard ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
Machac T.
6-3 6-7 7-5
Popyrin A.
Machac T.
66572
Popyrin A.
37751

Tomas Machac defeated Alexei Popyrin 6-3 6-7 7-5 in the Tokyo round of 32 on hard. Tomas Machac narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Tomas Machac closed it out in three sets, 6–3 6–7 7–5.

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-12Davis Cup Finals RR: AUS vs CZERRhardAlexei Popyrin1-0 RET
2024-08-05Canada MastersR64hardAlexei Popyrin6-3 6-4
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersR128hardTomas Machac6-3 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Machac T.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Popyrin A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Machac T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Machac T.Popyrin A.
30
Serve
40
25
Return
11

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.6
9.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (121 vs 106). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
90
59
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Dominant
80
6
Deciding sets·Clear edge
94
75
Tiebreaks·Even
97
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
6.8+149 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Hard Elo 1681
6.5Overall Elo 1866
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1741
2.8
H2H
7.2
3.5
Surface form
7.6
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
9.1
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Popyrin A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 31 km/hHumidity 64%