Tomas Machac vs Alex MichelsenTokyo Quarter-final

Tokyo · ATP · Quarter-final
#49ATP
1866ELO
1829Hard ELO
$832kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 25 September 2024
hard
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLWWLWW
Machac T.
7-6 6-3
Michelsen A.
Machac T.
7762
Michelsen A.
6230

Tomas Machac defeated Alex Michelsen 7-6 6-3 in the Tokyo quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Tomas Machac came in leading the head-to-head 1–0. Tomas Machac extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Tomas Machac closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-20GenevaQFclayTomas Machac6-3 7-6(2)

Serve vs return

This season
Machac T.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Michelsen A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Machac T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Machac T.Michelsen A.
30
Serve
34
25
Return
46

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.6
4.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (121 vs 157). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
90
78
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Dominant
80
46
Deciding sets·Even
94
91
Tiebreaks·Even
97
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 37 days (−1.0)
Form & Matchup
5.2+19 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Hard Elo 1810
5.4Overall Elo 1866
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1825
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.5
Surface form
7.3
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
67

Michelsen A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 31 km/hHumidity 64%