Jack Draper vs Hubert HurkaczTokyo Round of 16

Tokyo · ATP · Round of 16
#145ATP
1822ELO
1783Hard ELO
$305kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 25 September 2024
hard
#68ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
Draper J.
6-4 6-4
Hurkacz H.
Draper J.
662
Hurkacz H.
440

Jack Draper defeated Hubert Hurkacz 6-4 6-4 in the Tokyo round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Hubert Hurkacz came in ranked #68, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's round of 32. Jack Draper narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Jack Draper edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

14
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-22Madrid MastersR64clayHubert Hurkacz6-1 7-5
2024-04-08Monte Carlo MastersR64clayHubert Hurkacz6-4 3-6 7-6(2)
2023-08-28US OpenR64hardJack Draper6-2 6-4 7-5
2023-04-10Monte Carlo MastersR32clayHubert Hurkacz6-3 6-7(3) 7-5
2022-10-17AntwerpR16hardHubert Hurkacz7-6(5) 6-7(5) 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Draper J.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Hurkacz H.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Draper J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Draper J.Hurkacz H.
Serve
67
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
67%
69%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.2
12.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (107 vs 106). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
78
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
83
40
Deciding sets·Even
96
94
Tiebreaks·Even
95
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 44 days (−1.0)
Form & Matchup
6.7+56 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Hard Elo 1727
6.1Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1798
0.0
H2H
10.0
3.7
Surface form
6.3
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
7.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
76

Draper J.: 17 days rest · Hurkacz H.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 31 km/hHumidity 64%