Kei Nishikori vs Marin CilicTokyo Round of 32

Tokyo · ATP · Round of 32
#720ATP
1714ELO
1680Hard ELO
36 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 25 September 2024
hard
#62ATP
1800ELO
1762Hard ELO
$776kYTD
$33MCAREER
37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
Nishikori K.
6-4 3-6 6-3
Cilic M.
Nishikori K.
6362
Cilic M.
4631

Kei Nishikori defeated Marin Cilic 6-4 3-6 6-3 in the Tokyo round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Marin Cilic came in ranked #62. Kei Nishikori extended the head-to-head to 10–6.

Key context

  • Match story: Kei Nishikori closed it out in three sets, 6–4 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

96
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2018-08-27US OpenQFhardKei Nishikori2-6 6-4 7-6(5) 4-6 6-4
2018-04-16Monte Carlo MastersQFclayKei Nishikori6-4 6-7(1) 6-3
2016-11-14Tour FinalsRRhardMarin Cilic3-6 6-2 6-3
2016-10-24BaselFhardMarin Cilic6-1 7-6(5)
2016-06-27WimbledonR16grassMarin Cilic6-1 5-1 RET
2015-10-05TokyoQFhardKei Nishikori3-6 7-5 6-3
2015-08-03WashingtonSFhardKei Nishikori3-6 6-1 6-4
2014-08-25US OpenFhardMarin Cilic6-3 6-3 6-3
2014-04-21BarcelonaQFclayKei Nishikori6-1 6-3
2013-12-29BrisbaneQFhardKei Nishikori6-4 5-7 6-2
2013-02-18MemphisQFhardKei Nishikori6-4 6-2
2012-08-27US OpenR32hardMarin Cilic6-3 6-4 6-7(3) 6-3
2011-01-03ChennaiR32hardKei Nishikori4-6 7-6(0) 6-2
2010-08-30US OpenR64hardKei Nishikori5-7 7-6(6) 3-6 7-6(3) 6-1
2008-03-13Indian Wells MastersR128hardMarin Cilic6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Nishikori K.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Cilic M.

Cilic M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Nishikori K.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nishikori K.Cilic M.
Serve
57
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
57%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
66%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.3
9.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (64 vs 84). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
89
76
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Dominant
74
41
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
94
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
97
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1680
Surface ELO
6.1+81 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1714
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1800
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
8.5
0.0
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
4.3
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
8.9
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Cilic M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 31 km/hHumidity 64%