Matteo Berrettini vs Botic Van De ZandschulpTokyo Round of 32

Tokyo · ATP · Round of 32
#43ATP
1831ELO
1797Hard ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 25 September 2024
hard
#55ATP
1743ELO
1711Hard ELO
$690kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLLLW
Berrettini M.
6-3 6-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Berrettini M.
662
Van De Zandschulp B.
340

Matteo Berrettini defeated Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-3 6-4 in the Tokyo round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Matteo Berrettini came in ranked #43, leading the head-to-head 4–0. Matteo Berrettini extended the head-to-head to 5–0.

Key context

Head to head

40
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-11-24Davis Cup Finals F: ITA vs NEDRRhardMatteo Berrettini6-4 6-2
2024-09-15Davis Cup Finals RR: ITA vs NEDRRhardMatteo Berrettini3-6 6-4 6-4
2022-06-13Queen's ClubSFgrassMatteo Berrettini6-4 6-3
2021-06-28WimbledonR64grassMatteo Berrettini6-3 6-4 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Berrettini M.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Van De Zandschulp B.

Van De Zandschulp B.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Berrettini M.Van De Zandschulp B.
57
Serve
41
10
Return
43

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
63%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.1
5.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.5
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (105 vs 144). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
81
77
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Clear edge
53
68
Deciding sets·Clear edge
91
79
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
98
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+87 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1711
5.8Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1743
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.1
Surface form
3.0
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.6
Minutes 14d
7.7
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
80
91

Berrettini M.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Van De Zandschulp B.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 31 km/hHumidity 64%