Jack Draper vs Mattia BellucciTokyo Round of 32

Tokyo · ATP · Round of 32
#131ATP
1822ELO
1783Hard ELO
$305kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 25 September 2024
hard
#67ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
Draper J.
6-4 6-2
Bellucci M.
Draper J.
662
Bellucci M.
420

Jack Draper defeated Mattia Bellucci 6-4 6-2 in the Tokyo round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jack Draper came in leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32. Jack Draper extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR128clayJack Draper3-6 6-1 6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Draper J.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Bellucci M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Draper J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Draper J.Bellucci M.
Serve
0
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.3
6.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (107 vs 170). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
88
60
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
83
10
Deciding sets·Clear edge
96
81
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.7+105 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.3Hard Elo 1678
7.9Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1720
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.7
Surface form
8.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
8.5
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Draper J.: 15 days rest · Bellucci M.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 31 km/hHumidity 64%