Yoshihito Nishioka vs Felix Auger AliassimeTokyo Round of 32

Tokyo · ATP · Round of 32
#176ATP
1689ELO
1659Hard ELO
$42kYTD
$7.5MCAREER
30 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 25 September 2024
hard
#4ATP
1958ELO
1932Hard ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
Nishioka Y.
7-6 3-6 7-6
Auger Aliassime F.
Nishioka Y.
773772
Auger Aliassime F.
656651

Yoshihito Nishioka defeated Felix Auger Aliassime 7-6 3-6 7-6 in the Tokyo round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Felix Auger Aliassime came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 4–2, defending last year's quarter-final. Yoshihito Nishioka narrowed the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

Head to head

24
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR128clayFelix Auger Aliassime6-2 6-4 6-4
2024-04-22Madrid MastersR128clayFelix Auger Aliassime4-6 6-1 6-4
2022-08-08Canada MastersR32hardFelix Auger Aliassime7-6(6) 6-4
2020-10-19Cologne 2QFhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-3 6-4
2020-09-28Roland GarrosR128clayYoshihito Nishioka7-5 6-3 6-3
2019-03-04Indian Wells MastersR32hardYoshihito Nishioka6-7(2) 6-4 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Nishioka Y.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Auger Aliassime F.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Nishioka Y.

Serve advantage — Auger Aliassime F.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nishioka Y.Auger Aliassime F.
Serve
74
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
68%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.7
9.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.4
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (98 vs 156). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
84
84
Break points saved·Slight edge
95
100
Break points won·Slight edge
59
50
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Even
97
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.4Hard Elo 1659
Surface ELO
8.6+273 Hard Elo edge
1.3Overall Elo 1689
ELO gap
8.7Overall Elo 1958
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.5
Surface form
7.0
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
8.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
4.9
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
53

Auger Aliassime F.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 112 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 31 km/hHumidity 64%