Bernard Tomic vs Naoki NakagawaCharleston CH Round of 16

Charleston CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#206ATP
1475ELO
1441Hard ELO
$117kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
33 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 23 September 2024
hard
#776ATP
1289ELO
1271Hard ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
Tomic B.
6-1 6-3
Nakagawa N.
Tomic B.
662
Nakagawa N.
130

Bernard Tomic defeated Naoki Nakagawa 6-1 6-3 in the Charleston CH round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Bernard Tomic came in ranked #206, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Tomic B.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Nakagawa N.

Nakagawa N.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Tomic B.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
63%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.6
6.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (153 vs 55). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
53
3
Break points saved·Dominant
92
57
Break points won·Even
4
1
Deciding sets·Dominant
74
12
Tiebreaks·Dominant
79
17

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.5+170 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Hard Elo 1271
7.8Overall Elo 1475
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1289
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
7.6
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.9
Minutes 14d
2.1
7.0
3-set count
0.0
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
84

Tomic B.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast