Neil Oberleitner vs Alex Molcan — Lisbon CH Qualifying Round 1

Lisbon CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
AUT
Neil Oberleitner
#639ATP
1320ELO
1272Clay ELO
26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 23 September 2024
clay
Alex Molcan
SVK11
Alex Molcan
#101ATP
1742ELO
1712Clay ELO
$295kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
28 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Oberleitner N.
6-2 7-5
Molcan A.
Oberleitner N.
672
Molcan A.
250

Neil Oberleitner defeated Alex Molcan 6-2 7-5 in the Lisbon CH qualifying round 1 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alex Molcan came in ranked #101.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Oberleitner N.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Molcan A.

Molcan A.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Oberleitner N.

Serve advantage — Molcan A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Oberleitner N.Molcan A.
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.7
2.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (92 vs 94). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Oberleitner N.Molcan A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
13
79
Break points saved·Clear edge
76
90
Break points won·Dominant
30
61
Deciding sets·Dominant
1
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
8
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Oberleitner N.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Molcan A.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
0.0Clay Elo 1272
Surface ELO
10.0+440 Clay Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1320
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 1742
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
6.2
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Oberleitner N.Molcan A.
Freshness·
—
93

Molcan A.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Q2
Klizan M.[8]
Taberner C.[1]
6-37-5
Fonio G.[7]
Andreev A.[2]
3-66-26-1
Novak D.[3]
Oberleitner N.
6-37-64
Tabur C.[9]
Moller E.[4]
6-07-5
Dalla Valle E.[5]
Kopp S.[12]
7-642-67-5
Rincon D.[6]
Brancaccio R.
7-686-3
Q1
Taberner C.[1]
Domingues J.
7-56-3
Andreev A.[2]
Feldbausch K.
6-26-4
Novak D.[3]
Araujo P.
0-67-56-2
Moller E.[4]
Pereira T.
6-26-1
Dalla Valle E.[5]
Giannessi A.
6-46-3
Rincon D.[6]
Rocha F.
4-67-636-4
Fonio G.[7]
Seggerman R.
6-46-1
Klizan M.[8]
Falcao G.
6-16-0
Tabur C.[9]
Serdarusic N.
6-22-0
Brancaccio R.
Fanselow S.[10]
6-36-1
Oberleitner N.
Molcan A.[11]
6-27-5
Kopp S.[12]
Cukierman D.
6-46-2